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← Home / England / Championship / Matches / QPR vs Derby

QPR vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

QPR has a 38% chance to win.
Final Score: QPR 2–3 Derby
Sat, Apr 25, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Championship
QPR
16-10-18Rating 1665
Form: LLDDW
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2 – 3
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Championship
Derby
19-9-16Rating 1591
Form: LWLWL
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

QPRStatDerby
44Games played44
1.3Avg goals scored1.4
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
36% / 23% / 41%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 20% / 36%
45% Home win % / Away win % 41%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
QPRStatDerby
8All-time wins (23 meetings, 6 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
0.9Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2025-10-25): Derby 1–0 QPR

Recent Results

QPR

vs Swansea
Tue, Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Millwall
Sat, Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2
vs Bristol City
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Preston
Mon, Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Watford
Fri, Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1

Derby

@ Norwich
Tue, Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
vs Oxford Utd
Sat, Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Southampton
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
vs Stoke
Mon, Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Coventry
Fri, Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2–3