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Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 41% chance to win.

Final Score: Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal

Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · 4:30 PM BST

Championship

Manchester City

19-7-5Rating 2031

Form: WDDWW

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2 – 1

Model Probability

41%

Draw 28%

32%

Championship

Arsenal

21-7-4Rating 2091

Form: LWWWW

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Model Prediction Through Season

Manchester City	Stat	Arsenal
31	Games played	32
2.0	Avg goals scored	1.9
0.9	Avg goals conceded	0.8
61% / 23% / 16%	Win / Draw / Loss	66% / 22% / 12%
73%	Home win % / Away win %	56%

Manchester City	Stat	Arsenal
16	All-time wins (32 meetings, 10 draws)	6
0	Last 5 meetings (3 draws)	2
1.8	Average goals	1.1

Last meeting (2025-09-21): Arsenal 1–1 Manchester City

Recent Results

Manchester City

Sun, Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3

Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2

Wed, Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4

Sat, Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1

Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3

Arsenal

Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3

Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2

Wed, Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1

Sun, Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3

Sun, Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5