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← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Arsenal vs Manchester Utd

Arsenal vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 71% chance to win.
Final Score: Arsenal 2–3 Manchester Utd
Sun, Jan 25, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Championship
Arsenal
15-5-2Rating 2091
Form: DDWWW
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2 – 3
Model Probability
71%
Draw 17%
11%
Championship
Manchester Utd
9-8-5Rating 1892
Form: WDDDW
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatManchester Utd
22Games played22
1.8Avg goals scored1.7
0.6Avg goals conceded1.5
68% / 23% / 9%Win / Draw / Loss41% / 36% / 23%
82% Home win % / Away win % 27%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
ArsenalStatManchester Utd
11All-time wins (31 meetings, 8 draws)12
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.4Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2025-08-17): Manchester Utd 0–1 Arsenal

Recent Results

Arsenal

@ Nottingham
Sat, Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
vs Liverpool
Thu, Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Bournemouth
Sat, Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2
vs Aston Villa
Tue, Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Brighton
Sat, Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1

Manchester Utd

vs Manchester City
Sat, Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Burnley
Wed, Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
@ Leeds
Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Wolves
Tue, Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Newcastle
Fri, Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0