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Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 58% chance to win.
Final Score: Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea
Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT
Championship
Manchester City
13-2-4Rating 2031
Form: DWWWW
1 – 1
Model Probability
58%
Draw 23%
19%
Championship
Chelsea
8-6-5Rating 1913
Form: DLDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatChelsea
19Games played19
2.3Avg goals scored1.7
0.9Avg goals conceded1.1
68% / 11% / 21%Win / Draw / Loss42% / 32% / 26%
89% Home win % / Away win % 44%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatChelsea
17All-time wins (31 meetings, 5 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.6Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2025-01-25): Manchester City 3–1 Chelsea