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Swansea vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 39% chance to win.
Final Score: Swansea 1–2 Derby
Tue, Nov 25, 2025 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Swansea
4-5-7Rating 1663
Form: LLLDW
1 – 2
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
Championship
Derby
6-5-5Rating 1591
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatDerby
16Games played16
0.9Avg goals scored1.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.4
25% / 31% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 31% / 31%
25% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatDerby
5All-time wins (13 meetings, 4 draws)4
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2025-04-05): Swansea 1–0 Derby