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← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Brighton vs Newcastle

Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Newcastle has a 42% chance to win.
Final Score: Brighton 1–1 Newcastle
Sun, May 4, 2025 · 2:00 PM BST
Championship
Brighton
13-12-8Rating 1983
Form: WLDLL
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1 – 1
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
42%
Championship
Newcastle
19-4-10Rating 1890
Form: WLWWW
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatNewcastle
33Games played33
1.7Avg goals scored1.9
1.6Avg goals conceded1.2
39% / 36% / 24%Win / Draw / Loss58% / 12% / 30%
41% Home win % / Away win % 47%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
BrightonStatNewcastle
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 7 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.1Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2024-10-19): Newcastle 0–1 Brighton

Recent Results

Brighton

vs West Ham
Sat, Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2
@ Brentford
Sat, Apr 19, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2–4
vs Leicester
Sat, Apr 12, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
@ Crystal Palace
Sat, Apr 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
vs Aston Villa
Wed, Apr 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0–3

Newcastle

vs Ipswich
Sat, Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
@ Aston Villa
Sat, Apr 19, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4
vs Crystal Palace
Wed, Apr 16, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5–0
vs Manchester Utd
Sun, Apr 13, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
@ Leicester
Mon, Apr 7, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0