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Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 58% chance to win.
Final Score: Middlesbrough 1–0 Derby
Sat, Mar 1, 2025 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Middlesbrough
13-8-13Rating 1704
Form: WLLLL
1 – 0
Model Probability
58%
Draw 23%
19%
Championship
Derby
7-8-19Rating 1591
Form: LLDDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatDerby
34Games played34
1.6Avg goals scored1.0
1.4Avg goals conceded1.4
38% / 24% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss21% / 24% / 56%
41% Home win % / Away win % 6%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatDerby
10All-time wins (24 meetings, 7 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2024-08-17): Derby 1–0 Middlesbrough