Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-28 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Wrexham 45% | |
| 2026-04-12 | 2–0 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 37% | |
| 2025-10-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Wrexham 46% | |
| 2025-01-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 48% | |
| 2024-09-16 | 3–1 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 61% |