Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | 1–2 | Nottingham +1 | West Ham 39% | |
| 2025-08-31 | 0–3 | West Ham +3 | Nottingham 55% | |
| 2025-05-18 | 1–2 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 38% | |
| 2024-11-02 | 3–0 | Nottingham +3 | Nottingham 49% | |
| 2024-02-17 | 2–0 | Nottingham +2 | West Ham 37% | |
| 2023-11-12 | 3–2 | West Ham +1 | West Ham 46% | |
| 2023-02-25 | 4–0 | West Ham +4 | West Ham 48% | |
| 2022-08-14 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 38% | |
| 2012-01-21 | 2–1 | West Ham +1 | West Ham 64% | |
| 2011-08-28 | 1–4 | West Ham +3 | Nottingham 39% |