Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-05 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-17 | 0–2 | Millwall +2 | Watford 46% | |
| 2025-09-22 | 1–0 | Millwall +1 | Millwall 47% | |
| 2025-03-08 | 1–2 | Millwall +1 | Watford 45% | |
| 2024-08-10 | 2–3 | Watford +1 | Millwall 44% | |
| 2024-03-02 | 1–0 | Millwall +1 | Millwall 36% | |
| 2023-10-28 | 2–2 | Draw | Watford 47% | |
| 2022-12-26 | 0–2 | Millwall +2 | Watford 48% | |
| 2022-10-19 | 3–0 | Millwall +3 | Millwall 43% | |
| 2021-04-24 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 69% | |
| 2021-01-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Watford 51% | |
| 2015-04-11 | 0–2 | Watford +2 | Watford 55% | |
| 2014-11-01 | 3–1 | Watford +2 | Watford 53% | |
| 2014-04-12 | 2–2 | Draw | Watford 45% | |
| 2013-12-26 | 4–0 | Watford +4 | Watford 53% | |
| 2013-04-16 | 1–0 | Millwall +1 | Watford 38% | |
| 2012-11-06 | 0–0 | Draw | Watford 40% | |
| 2012-01-31 | 0–2 | Watford +2 | Millwall 45% | |
| 2011-09-27 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 44% | |
| 2011-03-05 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 45% | |
| 2010-09-18 | 1–6 | Watford +5 | Millwall 44% |