Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-23 | 5–1 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 88% | |
| 2021-12-04 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2020-07-21 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 58% | |
| 2019-09-21 | 8–0 | Manchester City +8 | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2019-03-09 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 75% | |
| 2018-12-04 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 64% | |
| 2018-01-02 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2017-09-16 | 0–6 | Manchester City +6 | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2017-05-21 | 0–5 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2016-12-14 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2016-01-02 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 47% | |
| 2015-08-29 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 71% |