Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-12 | 2–2 | Draw | Nottingham 48% | |
| 2021-08-21 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 49% | |
| 2021-04-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 44% | |
| 2020-12-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 57% | |
| 2020-07-22 | 1–4 | Stoke +3 | Nottingham 46% | |
| 2019-09-27 | 2–3 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 38% | |
| 2019-03-02 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 41% | |
| 2018-11-10 | 0–0 | Draw | Nottingham 38% |