Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-21 | 1–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Stoke 39% | |
| 2025-09-30 | 0–0 | Draw | Middlesbrough 52% | |
| 2025-02-25 | 1–3 | Middlesbrough +2 | Stoke 38% | |
| 2024-09-28 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 49% | |
| 2024-03-02 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Middlesbrough 37% | |
| 2023-10-28 | 0–2 | Stoke +2 | Middlesbrough 51% | |
| 2023-03-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 53% | |
| 2022-08-17 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 45% | |
| 2022-04-30 | 3–1 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2021-12-11 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 50% | |
| 2021-03-13 | 3–0 | Middlesbrough +3 | Middlesbrough 42% | |
| 2020-12-05 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 48% | |
| 2020-06-27 | 0–2 | Middlesbrough +2 | Stoke 48% | |
| 2019-12-20 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2019-04-19 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 44% | |
| 2018-11-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 48% | |
| 2017-03-04 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 47% | |
| 2016-08-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 43% |