Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 1–3 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 58% | |
| 2025-11-08 | 3–1 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 55% | |
| 2024-01-13 | 4–0 | Southampton +4 | Southampton 68% | |
| 2023-08-04 | 1–2 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 42% | |
| 2011-03-19 | 2–0 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 57% | |
| 2010-09-25 | 0–1 | Southampton +1 | Sheffield Wed 53% |