Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Middlesbrough 63% | |
| 2025-11-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 37% | |
| 2025-03-29 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 56% | |
| 2024-11-23 | 2–6 | Middlesbrough +4 | Middlesbrough 36% |