Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-08 | 0–1 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 41% | |
| 2024-12-10 | 3–1 | Leeds +2 | Leeds 50% | |
| 2024-04-22 | 3–4 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 40% | |
| 2023-12-02 | 3–2 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 49% | |
| 2020-02-26 | 0–1 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 40% | |
| 2019-11-30 | 4–0 | Leeds +4 | Leeds 59% | |
| 2019-02-09 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 42% | |
| 2018-08-31 | 0–0 | Draw | Leeds 43% | |
| 2018-03-02 | 3–0 | Middlesbrough +3 | Middlesbrough 51% | |
| 2017-11-19 | 2–1 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 38% | |
| 2016-02-15 | 0–0 | Draw | Middlesbrough 41% | |
| 2015-09-27 | 3–0 | Middlesbrough +3 | Middlesbrough 54% | |
| 2015-02-21 | 0–1 | Leeds +1 | Middlesbrough 64% | |
| 2014-08-16 | 1–0 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 39% | |
| 2014-02-22 | 0–0 | Draw | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2013-11-23 | 2–1 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 50% | |
| 2013-02-12 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2012-12-22 | 2–1 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 38% | |
| 2012-03-11 | 0–2 | Leeds +2 | Middlesbrough 49% | |
| 2011-08-13 | 0–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Leeds 43% | |
| 2011-01-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Leeds 49% | |
| 2010-10-16 | 1–2 | Leeds +1 | Middlesbrough 48% |