Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2025-01-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 59% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 0–2 | Middlesbrough +2 | Cardiff 38% | |
| 2024-04-27 | 1–4 | Middlesbrough +3 | Middlesbrough 39% | |
| 2023-10-03 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 44% | |
| 2023-02-11 | 1–3 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 42% | |
| 2022-09-13 | 2–3 | Cardiff +1 | Middlesbrough 49% | |
| 2022-04-27 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 54% | |
| 2021-10-23 | 0–2 | Middlesbrough +2 | Cardiff 40% | |
| 2021-02-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 36% | |
| 2020-10-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 47% | |
| 2020-07-18 | 1–3 | Cardiff +2 | Middlesbrough 42% | |
| 2019-09-21 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 46% | |
| 2018-02-17 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 44% | |
| 2017-10-21 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Middlesbrough 48% | |
| 2016-02-23 | 3–1 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 54% | |
| 2015-10-20 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 38% | |
| 2015-01-20 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 57% | |
| 2014-09-16 | 0–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Cardiff 46% | |
| 2013-03-02 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Cardiff 37% | |
| 2012-11-17 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 41% | |
| 2012-04-07 | 0–2 | Cardiff +2 | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2011-12-17 | 2–3 | Middlesbrough +1 | Cardiff 48% | |
| 2011-05-02 | 0–3 | Middlesbrough +3 | Cardiff 56% | |
| 2010-12-11 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Cardiff 39% | |
| 2010-03-06 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 43% |