Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-16 | 3–0 | Aston Villa +3 | Aston Villa 49% | |
| 2018-12-01 | 0–3 | Aston Villa +3 | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2018-05-15 | 0–0 | Draw | Aston Villa 46% | |
| 2018-05-12 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2017-12-30 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Middlesbrough 48% | |
| 2017-09-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Aston Villa 38% |