Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-21 | 6–0 | Leeds +6 | Leeds 68% | |
| 2024-12-26 | 0–2 | Leeds +2 | Leeds 46% | |
| 2024-03-05 | 1–0 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 69% | |
| 2023-10-25 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Leeds 37% | |
| 2020-07-09 | 5–0 | Leeds +5 | Leeds 51% | |
| 2019-08-24 | 0–3 | Leeds +3 | Stoke 37% | |
| 2019-01-19 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 42% | |
| 2018-08-05 | 3–1 | Leeds +2 | Stoke 43% |