Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-26 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 60% | |
| 2025-11-23 | 1–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 45% | |
| 2023-01-13 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 47% | |
| 2022-10-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Leeds 45% | |
| 2022-03-10 | 0–3 | Aston Villa +3 | Aston Villa 39% | |
| 2022-02-09 | 3–3 | Draw | Aston Villa 49% | |
| 2021-02-27 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 39% | |
| 2020-10-23 | 0–3 | Leeds +3 | Aston Villa 63% | |
| 2019-04-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Leeds 40% | |
| 2018-12-23 | 2–3 | Leeds +1 | Aston Villa 45% | |
| 2018-04-13 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 58% | |
| 2017-12-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Leeds 41% | |
| 2016-12-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 42% | |
| 2016-12-03 | 2–0 | Leeds +2 | Leeds 42% |