Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 58% | |
| 2022-11-12 | 1–3 | Derby +2 | MK Dons 39% | |
| 2016-02-13 | 0–1 | MK Dons +1 | Derby 61% | |
| 2015-09-26 | 1–3 | Derby +2 | MK Dons 36% |