Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-30 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Nottingham 40% | |
| 2021-09-12 | 1–2 | Cardiff +1 | Nottingham 37% | |
| 2021-04-02 | 0–1 | Nottingham +1 | Cardiff 56% | |
| 2020-09-19 | 0–2 | Cardiff +2 | Nottingham 42% | |
| 2020-02-25 | 0–1 | Nottingham +1 | Cardiff 40% | |
| 2019-11-30 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Nottingham 50% | |
| 2018-04-21 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 62% | |
| 2017-11-26 | 0–2 | Cardiff +2 | Nottingham 37% | |
| 2017-04-17 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 49% | |
| 2016-10-22 | 1–2 | Cardiff +1 | Nottingham 48% | |
| 2015-12-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 46% | |
| 2015-08-29 | 1–2 | Cardiff +1 | Nottingham 41% | |
| 2015-05-02 | 1–2 | Cardiff +1 | Nottingham 45% | |
| 2014-10-18 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 39% | |
| 2013-04-13 | 3–0 | Cardiff +3 | Cardiff 51% | |
| 2012-10-20 | 3–1 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 39% | |
| 2011-12-31 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 43% | |
| 2011-11-26 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 54% | |
| 2011-02-19 | 2–1 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 47% | |
| 2010-11-20 | 0–2 | Nottingham +2 | Cardiff 51% | |
| 2010-04-05 | 0–0 | Draw | Nottingham 43% |