Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-23 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 64% | |
| 2026-05-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 49% | |
| 2025-11-02 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2025-05-20 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 58% | |
| 2024-11-02 | 2–1 | Bournemouth +1 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2024-02-24 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2023-11-04 | 6–1 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 83% | |
| 2023-02-25 | 1–4 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 69% | |
| 2022-08-13 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2020-07-15 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2019-08-25 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2019-03-02 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2018-12-01 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2017-12-23 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2017-08-26 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2017-02-13 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2016-09-17 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2016-04-02 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 46% | |
| 2015-10-17 | 5–1 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 70% |