Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-29 | 0–2 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 48% | |
| 2023-08-15 | 3–1 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 52% | |
| 2023-04-29 | 2–0 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 55% | |
| 2022-11-19 | 1–2 | Bolton +1 | Fleetwood 39% | |
| 2022-04-30 | 4–2 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 59% | |
| 2021-12-07 | 3–0 | Fleetwood +3 | Fleetwood 41% | |
| 2019-11-02 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Fleetwood 37% | |
| 2017-03-11 | 2–4 | Bolton +2 | Fleetwood 44% | |
| 2016-08-20 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 49% |