Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-19 | 2–2 | Draw | Birmingham 40% | |
| 2026-03-02 | 1–3 | Middlesbrough +2 | Birmingham 38% | |
| 2025-11-08 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2024-03-12 | 0–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 40% | |
| 2023-10-21 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 52% | |
| 2023-01-02 | 1–3 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 37% | |
| 2022-10-05 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 51% | |
| 2022-03-15 | 0–2 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 42% | |
| 2021-10-30 | 0–2 | Birmingham +2 | Middlesbrough 56% | |
| 2021-01-16 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Middlesbrough 62% | |
| 2020-12-19 | 1–4 | Middlesbrough +3 | Middlesbrough 39% | |
| 2020-01-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 50% | |
| 2019-10-04 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 43% | |
| 2019-01-12 | 1–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Birmingham 39% | |
| 2018-08-11 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 57% | |
| 2018-03-06 | 0–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 49% | |
| 2017-11-22 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 65% | |
| 2016-04-29 | 2–2 | Draw | Middlesbrough 42% | |
| 2015-12-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Middlesbrough 58% | |
| 2015-02-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 50% | |
| 2014-08-09 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 53% | |
| 2014-04-08 | 3–1 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 50% | |
| 2013-12-07 | 2–2 | Draw | Birmingham 48% | |
| 2013-03-16 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Middlesbrough 42% | |
| 2012-11-30 | 3–2 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 40% | |
| 2012-03-17 | 3–0 | Birmingham +3 | Birmingham 51% | |
| 2011-08-21 | 3–1 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 42% |