Final Score: Blue Jackets 5 - Lightning 2
Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Blue Jackets @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jackets
32-31 Rating 1499
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.0
Lightning
39-23 Rating 1562
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jackets Lightning
All-time wins 23 39
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.6 3.2
Last meeting 8 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jackets Lightning
Games played 63 62
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.6
Avg goals conceded 3.2 2.8
Win percentage 51% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 66%