Final Score: Stars 3 - Senators 2
Tuesday, November 11, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Stars @ Senators

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Stars
9-7 Rating 1549
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Ottawa Senators +0.1
Senators
8-8 Rating 1509
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Stars Senators
All-time wins 26 22
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.1 2.9
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Stars Senators
Games played 16 16
Avg goals scored 3.1 3.6
Avg goals conceded 3.2 3.6
Win percentage 56% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 62%