Final Score: Capitals 1 - Lightning 5
Thursday, March 30, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Capitals @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Capitals
34-41 Rating 1481
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.2
Lightning
43-32 Rating 1555
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Capitals Lightning
All-time wins 90 58
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.4 2.6
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Capitals Lightning
Games played 75 75
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.4
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.1
Win percentage 45% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 68%