Final Score: Lightning 4 - Penguins 3
Sunday, May 22, 2016 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
56-40 Rating 1558
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Penguins +0.6
Penguins
58-39 Rating 1571
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Penguins
All-time wins 42 50
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.9 3.1
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Penguins
Games played 96 97
Avg goals scored 2.8 3.0
Avg goals conceded 2.4 2.5
Win percentage 58% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 65%