Final Score: Lightning 3 - Penguins 1
Friday, May 13, 2016 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
54-38 Rating 1557
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Penguins +0.6
Penguins
56-37 Rating 1572
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Penguins
All-time wins 40 48
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.9 3.2
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Penguins
Games played 92 93
Avg goals scored 2.8 3.0
Avg goals conceded 2.4 2.5
Win percentage 59% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 66%