Final Score: Patriots 28 - Bills 6
Sunday, October 22, 2006 at 1:02 PM ET

Patriots @ Bills

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
4-1 Rating 1690
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
71%
29%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +5.1
Bills
2-4 Rating 1445
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Bills
All-time wins 40 32
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average points 20.2 18.6
Last meeting 19 17

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Bills
Games played 5 6
Avg points scored 21.6 15.7
Avg points conceded 14.8 20.8
Win percentage 80% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 50%