Final Score: Jaguars 3 - Patriots 28
Saturday, January 7, 2006 at 8:08 PM ET

Jaguars @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Jaguars
12-4 Rating 1602
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +6.5
Patriots
10-6 Rating 1709
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Jaguars Patriots
All-time wins 1 4
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 17.8 22.2
Last meeting 13 27

Key Season Stats

Stat Jaguars Patriots
Games played 16 16
Avg points scored 22.6 23.7
Avg points conceded 16.8 21.1
Win percentage 75% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 75% 62%