Final Score: Dolphins 28 - Patriots 26
Sunday, January 1, 2006 at 1:02 PM ET

Dolphins @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dolphins
8-7 Rating 1485
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
19%
81%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +10.8
Patriots
10-5 Rating 1727
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dolphins Patriots
All-time wins 42 31
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 21.7 19.1
Last meeting 16 23

Key Season Stats

Stat Dolphins Patriots
Games played 15 15
Avg points scored 19.3 23.5
Avg points conceded 19.4 20.7
Win percentage 53% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 71%