| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 113–120 | Nuggets +7 | Nuggets +4.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 133–123 | Pelicans +10 | Kings +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 105–103 | Bulls +2 | Suns +9.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 106–121 | Spurs +15 | Spurs +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 107–115 | Timberwolves +8 | Timberwolves +6.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 110–126 | Heat +16 | Heat +11.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 115–113 | Warriors +2 | Rockets +7.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 114–115 | Magic +1 | Magic +7.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 122–112 | Jazz +10 | Wizards +3.8 | Regular Season |