| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2024 | 118–114 | 76ers +4 | Celtics +11.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2024 | 105–99 | Timberwolves +6 | Mavericks +7.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2024 | 100–110 | Suns +10 | Nuggets +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2024 | 115–113 | Lakers +2 | Warriors +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2024 | 114–117 | Knicks +3 | Knicks +10.1 | Regular Season |