| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 129–121 | Heat +8 | Celtics +2.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 11, 2021 | 115–107 | Nets +8 | Nets +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 11, 2021 | 117–112 | Nuggets +5 | Nuggets +2.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 11, 2021 | 104–133 | Grizzlies +29 | Grizzlies +2.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 11, 2021 | 119–100 | Timberwolves +19 | Pistons +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 11, 2021 | 116–122 | Warriors +6 | Suns +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 11, 2021 | 94–103 | Pacers +9 | 76ers +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 11, 2021 | 115–96 | Clippers +19 | Clippers +2.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 11, 2021 | 99–101 | Lakers +2 | Lakers +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 11, 2021 | 102–114 | Bucks +12 | Bucks +14.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 11, 2021 | 106–122 | Kings +16 | Kings +11.2 | Regular Season |