| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2012 | 95–106 | Bucks +11 | Bucks +8.6 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 21, 2012 | 83–93 | Bulls +10 | Bulls +6.9 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 21, 2012 | 118–107 | Nuggets +11 | Suns +5.4 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 21, 2012 | 96–99 | Rockets +3 | Rockets +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 21, 2012 | 109–106 | 76ers +3 | Pacers +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 21, 2012 | 89–93 | Grizzlies +4 | Grizzlies +10.1 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 21, 2012 | 86–84 | Wizards +2 | Heat +14.6 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 21, 2012 | 107–117 | Jazz +10 | Jazz +5.8 | Regular Season |