| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2012 | 72–83 | Heat +11 | Heat +3.5 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 19, 2012 | 91–80 | Timberwolves +11 | Pistons +5.4 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 19, 2012 | 99–105 | Pelicans +6 | Pelicans +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 19, 2012 | 109–118 | Pacers +9 | Pacers +7.5 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 19, 2012 | 90–93 | Suns +3 | Suns +1.9 | Regular Season |