| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2011 | 83–101 | Hawks +18 | Hawks +9.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 78–97 | Pelicans +19 | Pelicans +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 96–95 | Heat +1 | Heat +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 105–89 | Cavaliers +16 | Pistons +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 100–117 | Nuggets +17 | Nuggets +10.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 78–92 | Warriors +14 | Warriors +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 90–85 | Pacers +5 | Pacers +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 90–115 | Spurs +25 | Spurs +7.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 98–95 | Thunder +3 | Grizzlies +1.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 103–83 | 76ers +20 | Suns +3.3 | Regular Season |