| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2011 | 104–106 | Knicks +2 | Celtics +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2011 | 88–87 | Bulls +1 | Lakers +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2011 | 105–94 | Heat +11 | Mavericks +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2011 | 105–86 | Clippers +19 | Warriors +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2011 | 89–97 | Thunder +8 | Thunder +6.1 | Regular Season |