| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2011 | 80–83 | Hawks +3 | Bulls +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 103–115 | Celtics +12 | Celtics +7.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 80–120 | Nuggets +40 | Nuggets +6.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 109–99 | Spurs +10 | Spurs +10.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 116–105 | Timberwolves +11 | Pistons +7.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 106–102 | Warriors +4 | Warriors +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 103–106 | Clippers +3 | Rockets +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 89–113 | Thunder +24 | Thunder +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 88–107 | Knicks +19 | Knicks +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 107–102 | Trail Blazers +5 | Trail Blazers +1.2 | Regular Season |