| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2010 | 77–89 | Heat +12 | Heat +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 91–109 | 76ers +18 | 76ers +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 116–119 | Bulls +3 | Bulls +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 95–129 | Timberwolves +34 | Cavaliers +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 105–103 | Mavericks +2 | Mavericks +9.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 85–96 | Bucks +11 | Magic +4.1 | Regular Season |