| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2009 | 80–75 | Hawks +5 | Mavericks +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2009 | 105–106 | Hornets +1 | Hornets +6.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2009 | 110–78 | Raptors +32 | Bulls +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2009 | 106–99 | Nuggets +7 | Spurs +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2009 | 126–118 | Magic +8 | Magic +5.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2009 | 89–90 | Trail Blazers +1 | Trail Blazers +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2009 | 72–88 | Clippers +16 | Clippers +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2009 | 101–108 | Timberwolves +7 | Jazz +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2009 | 107–115 | Suns +8 | Suns +9.9 | Regular Season |