| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2006 | 93–95 | Heat +2 | Heat +13.9 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2006 | 100–105 | Nets +5 | Nets +6.9 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2006 | 94–110 | Nuggets +16 | Nuggets +8.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2006 | 94–105 | Lakers +11 | Pistons +4.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2006 | 103–98 | Knicks +5 | Bucks +9.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2006 | 81–101 | Spurs +20 | Spurs +15.4 | Regular Season |