Final Score: Timberwolves 118 - Mavericks 105
Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET
Timberwolves @ Mavericks
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Timberwolves | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 63 | 85 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 100.6 | 101.8 |
| Last meeting | 120 | 96 |
| Stat | Timberwolves | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 47 | 46 |
| Avg points scored | 119.0 | 114.3 |
| Avg points conceded | 114.3 | 116.5 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 54% |
Recent Results
Timberwolves
vs Golden State Warriors
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +25 · Total: 191
108-83
vs Golden State Warriors
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -26 · Total: 196
85-111
vs Chicago Bulls
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 235
115-120
@ Utah Jazz
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 249
122-127
@ San Antonio Spurs
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 249
123-126
@ Houston Rockets
Jan 16, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 215
105-110
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +33 · Total: 245
139-106
vs San Antonio Spurs
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 207
104-103
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 280
134-146
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 253
131-122
Mavericks
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 226
110-116
vs Golden State Warriors
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 238
123-115
@ New York Knicks
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 211
114-97
vs Utah Jazz
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +18 · Total: 258
138-120
vs Utah Jazz
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +22 · Total: 266
144-122
vs Denver Nuggets
Jan 14, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 227
109-118
vs Brooklyn Nets
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 218
113-105
@ Chicago Bulls
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -18 · Total: 232
107-125
@ Utah Jazz
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 230
114-116
@ Sacramento Kings
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 198
100-98