Final Score: Mavericks 105 - Heat 95
Sunday, June 12, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Mavericks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mavericks
72-30 Rating 1905
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +3.1
Heat
72-30 Rating 1877
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Heat
All-time wins 34 26
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 98.2 97.6
Last meeting 112 103

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Heat
Games played 102 102
Avg points scored 99.8 100.2
Avg points conceded 95.3 93.6
Win percentage 71% 71%
Away win % / Home win % 68% 76%