Final Score: Heat 103 - Mavericks 112
Thursday, June 9, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Mavericks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
72-29 Rating 1894
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Dallas Mavericks +4.2
Mavericks
71-30 Rating 1888
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Mavericks
All-time wins 26 33
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 97.5 98.0
Last meeting 83 86

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Mavericks
Games played 101 101
Avg points scored 100.2 99.7
Avg points conceded 93.4 95.2
Win percentage 71% 70%
Away win % / Home win % 66% 73%