Final Score: Heat 88 - Mavericks 86
Sunday, June 5, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Mavericks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
71-28 Rating 1892
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Dallas Mavericks +4.3
Mavericks
70-29 Rating 1890
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Mavericks
All-time wins 25 32
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 97.9 98.4
Last meeting 93 95

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Mavericks
Games played 99 99
Avg points scored 100.5 99.9
Avg points conceded 93.5 95.4
Win percentage 72% 71%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 73%