Final Score: Cubs 5 - Guardians 6
Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
4-4 Rating 1524
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.3
Guardians
5-4 Rating 1526
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Guardians
All-time wins 24 24
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Guardians
Games played 8 9
Avg runs scored 4.0 2.9
Avg runs conceded 3.5 3.4
Win percentage 50% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%