Final Score: Nationals 4 - Braves 3
Wednesday, September 24, 2025 at 12:15 PM ET

Nationals @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
64-94 Rating 1439
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +1.0
Braves
75-83 Rating 1517
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Braves
All-time wins 387 433
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Braves
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.5
Win percentage 41% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 49%